The students hanging from the trees, the adulating crowds, the campaigner’s hoarse voice calling for “a movement for change”—it all made President Obama’s appearance last night at Ohio State look something like October, 2008. For a moment, the ‘enthusiasm gap’ seemed to vanish, along with any anxieties about employment, polling and favourability numbers. It reminded me of an old chestnut: “Let Reagan be Reagan” was what the Gipper’s advisors used to say during his mid-term slumps. In other words, get him out among his people, the people who put him in the White House in the first place, then just let him work his magic. The problem for President Obama is that it isn’t clear just who his people are right now: as we know, the tea partiers are marching, the left is in whiny, quasi-revolt, and the middle is mad as hell and not about to take it any more.
What to do? A twelfth presidential trip to Ohio was a good start. The state is the platonic form of bellwether: as Ohio goes, so goes the nation, more than 90% of the time in presidential elections. Ohio “contains a bit of everything American—part north-eastern and part southern, part urban and part rural, part hardscrabble urban and part suburb” is how The Economist aptly describes it. In recent years, the buckeyes have leaned Democrat and the party has registered over 1,000,000 new Ohio voters since 2004. Still, Obama won only a quarter of Ohio’s counties in ’08 and a look at the speakers on the dais last night shows that things are not quite hunkey-dorey for Ohio Democrats. To Mr. Obama’s right (on the dais, that is) was Governor Strickland, who is currently trailing former Rep. John Kasich, the no-nonsense, budget-cutting maverick Republican. Also seated nearby was Lt. Governor Lee Fisher, the Democratic U.S. Senate candidate, who is trailing his G.O.P. opponent by some 15 to 19 points, depending on which poll you read. Sure it’s impressive for a President to muster 35,000 voters for a mid-term election rally, but let's not mistake last night’s gathering for a representative sample of Ohio voters.
The results of the races in Ohio, of course, will have serious repercussions for 2012. It is likely that fewer states overall will be in the swing column in 2012, meaning that the traditional swing states, like Ohio and Florida, will be even more important. Governors and U.S. Senators, with their bully pulpits, their money and their organizations, have a lot of potential to influence the swing of their states. If both offices in Ohio are held by the G.O.P. the climb will be a lot steeper for Democrats than it was in 2008, when Obama won Ohio by less than 300,000 votes. Remember also that Ohio’s unemployment rate is nearing 10%. It was only 8.5% when Ohio sent Jimmy Carter packing in 1980. In order to carry Ohio in 2012, Obama will need to be Obama circa September, 2008: He’ll have to get back to Ohio a thirteenth, fourteenth, fifteenth time and more, sure up his base in places like Columbus, and then win back the marginal counties. This strategy assumes, of course, that the Obama of ’08 still exists and that voters beyond the walls of Ohio State are still willing to trust him.
http://media2.foxnews.com/091310/091310_cav_sense_FNC_091310_17-07_FNC_MED.mp4
If one reads into his history before being president such an appraisal is not surprising. I believe a lot of people are seeing what Cavuto sees. So letting Obama be Obama is probably the worst thing that has happened to the Democrats in the last two years. Of course Nancy Pelosi has contributed immensely.
Yes, I am partisan. Partisan to a vibrant economy and low unemployment and true social justice.
Would you say that Father Malone's comments and those of many other authors here are partisan spin?
- You need to re-read your Augustine, Deacon, if you're putting that much faith, hope and trust in politicians. I'm 30, work hard, try to save and be conscious of the future, and generally hope one day to earn enough to have to worry about Mr. Obama's tax, but I have never been more pessimistic about the future of the country.
I've worked hard in my profession for over forty years and raised four children and was looking forward to be able to save up a little money during my remaining work years after I get my last kid out of college (just 2-1/2 years to go). But between losing my job and paying for insurance my employer used to pay for. my life savings are headed south. You'll have to pardon me but lately all I have time to read is my daily office and the readings that I'm to preach on next. But I must respond even without reading Augustine, no - I do not put my faith in politicians, that is reserved for God alone. You also should have noted that I say I am "more optimistic" - I've never lost my optimism, which is based on my hope and trust in God. I'm sorry you feel so pessimistic with your whole life ahead of you. You'll waste an awful lot of energy on worrying and fretting over things you cannot control. My main point is simply to say that things are not as bad as people want to paint them and they're definitely never as bad as the press reports them.
Try to take it easy...
The Democrats repeated their Jimmy Carter follies of the late 1970's in the last two years as they lowered fed rates and spent heavily with fiscal policy. That was a massive failure in the 1970's as it has been the last year. They have repeated the anti business approach by passing massive regulatory legislation producing an unknown future in terms of hiring costs and margins. On top of this no knows the tax rates just 2 1/2 months from now. Withholding rates are unknown for the immediate future. Essentially the Dems and Obama have created a great uncertainty for the future, just the opposite of what is needed for an economy to grow. They haven't even proposed a budget for next year as they did not want to have to run on it during the elections.
The inflation has not hit yet because the multiplier affect has not set in as people are not spending. The Fed just agreed to insert another massive amount of money into the economy. If it ever starts turning, we could get 70's type inflation as some think the Fed wants this to inflate the housing market and get people out from under water. Unfortunately that has a lot of other problems.